Markets
Short-horizon Polymarket binary markets — the shared set every forecaster is scored on
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
OpenYES 78cNO 23c
Vol: $264,933Ends Dec 9
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
OpenYES 12cNO 89c
Vol: $263,047Ends Nov 16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
OpenYES 33cNO 68c
Vol: $195,708Ends Dec 1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
OpenYES 95cNO 6c
Vol: $189,118Ends Nov 8
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
OpenYES 73cNO 28c
Vol: $162,585Ends Nov 29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
OpenYES 20cNO 81c
Vol: $95,307Ends Dec 1
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 43cNO 57c
Vol: $95,029Ends Dec 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
OpenYES 46cNO 55c
Vol: $63,898Ends Dec 1
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 November 2-8?
OpenYES 20cNO 80c
Vol: $48,506Ends Nov 9
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
OpenYES 78cNO 23c
Vol: $37,443Ends Dec 10
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 November 2-8?
OpenYES 46cNO 54c
Vol: $35,881Ends Nov 9
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 19cNO 82c
Vol: $35,801Ends Dec 1
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in November?
OpenYES 56cNO 45c
Vol: $32,198Ends Dec 1
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 82cNO 19c
Vol: $29,917Ends Dec 1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?
OpenYES 80cNO 21c
Vol: $27,011Ends Dec 1
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
OpenYES 44cNO 56c
Vol: $20,051Ends Nov 8
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
OpenYES 22cNO 78c
Vol: $19,510Ends Nov 11
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
OpenYES 40cNO 60c
Vol: $18,310Ends Nov 16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
OpenYES 26cNO 74c
Vol: $15,579Ends Dec 1
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
OpenYES 92cNO 8c
Vol: $14,763Ends Nov 30
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
OpenYES 34cNO 66c
Vol: $201,448Ends Nov 29
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 November 2-8?
OpenYES 14cNO 86c
Vol: $66,928Ends Nov 9
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?
OpenYES 56cNO 44c
Vol: $65,815Ends Nov 16
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
OpenYES 14cNO 86c
Vol: $49,823Ends Nov 6
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
OpenYES 30cNO 71c
Vol: $41,056Ends Nov 30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 6?
OpenYES 5cNO 95c
Vol: $32,603Ends Nov 6
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 38cNO 63c
Vol: $24,232Ends Dec 1
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
OpenYES 15cNO 85c
Vol: $21,900Ends Dec 1
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?
OpenYES 16cNO 85c
Vol: $40,223Ends Dec 1
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?
OpenYES 60cNO 41c
Vol: $31,126Ends Nov 9
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?
OpenYES 6cNO 94c
Vol: $24,764Ends Dec 1
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 26cNO 74c
Vol: $22,323Ends Dec 1
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 90cNO 10c
Vol: $13,091Ends Dec 1
Iran leadership change by November 30?
OpenYES 6cNO 95c
Vol: $122,591Ends Dec 1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
OpenYES 23cNO 78c
Vol: $144,680Ends Dec 9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
OpenYES 6cNO 95c
Vol: $101,925Ends Dec 1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
OpenYES 90cNO 11c
Vol: $99,587Ends Nov 6
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
OpenYES 77cNO 24c
Vol: $32,768Ends Nov 5
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?
OpenYES 88cNO 12c
Vol: $28,236Ends Nov 6
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 7cNO 94c
Vol: $21,930Ends Dec 1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?
OpenYES 14cNO 86c
Vol: $21,750Ends Nov 6
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
OpenYES 73cNO 28c
Vol: $19,007Ends Nov 16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
OpenYES 93cNO 8c
Vol: $117,280Ends Nov 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?
OpenYES 9cNO 92c
Vol: $117,134Ends Dec 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 2-8?
OpenYES 11cNO 90c
Vol: $55,753Ends Nov 9
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 41cNO 59c
Vol: $52,796Ends Dec 1
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?
OpenYES 57cNO 43c
Vol: $26,950Ends Nov 5
Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?
OpenYES 15cNO 85c
Vol: $16,582Ends Dec 1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ResolvedYES 95cNO 6c
Vol: $2,791,104Ends Nov 4
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ResolvedYES 24cNO 77c
Vol: $1,888,574Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 80cNO 21c
Vol: $900,843Ends Nov 4
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 25cNO 76c
Vol: $641,902Ends Nov 4
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 61cNO 39c
Vol: $426,158Ends Nov 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?
ResolvedYES 70cNO 31c
Vol: $360,018Ends Dec 1
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
OpenYES 66cNO 35c
Vol: $261,565Ends Nov 4
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?
ResolvedYES 73cNO 28c
Vol: $259,155Ends Nov 9
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 71cNO 30c
Vol: $228,174Ends Nov 4
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 69cNO 32c
Vol: $180,795Ends Nov 4
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 88cNO 13c
Vol: $152,817Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 62cNO 39c
Vol: $146,323Ends Nov 4
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 52cNO 49c
Vol: $135,353Ends Nov 4
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
OpenYES 18cNO 82c
Vol: $130,328Ends Nov 4
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 28cNO 73c
Vol: $123,492Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 93cNO 8c
Vol: $107,779Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
OpenYES 76cNO 25c
Vol: $103,676Ends Nov 4
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 27cNO 74c
Vol: $101,098Ends Nov 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November?
ResolvedYES 94cNO 6c
Vol: $407,974Ends Dec 1
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 72cNO 28c
Vol: $155,970Ends Nov 4
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
OpenYES 27cNO 74c
Vol: $151,837Ends Dec 1
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 87cNO 14c
Vol: $135,975Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
OpenYES 82cNO 19c
Vol: $117,007Ends Nov 4
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 74cNO 27c
Vol: $105,185Ends Nov 4
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
OpenYES 26cNO 75c
Vol: $94,466Ends Nov 4
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
OpenYES 23cNO 78c
Vol: $93,873Ends Nov 4
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
OpenYES 26cNO 75c
Vol: $1,865,328Ends Nov 3
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ResolvedYES 72cNO 28c
Vol: $426,537Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 42cNO 59c
Vol: $277,296Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
OpenYES 71cNO 30c
Vol: $71,881Ends Nov 4
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
OpenYES 42cNO 59c
Vol: $145,321Ends Nov 4
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
OpenYES 88cNO 13c
Vol: $52,677Ends Nov 5
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
OpenYES 37cNO 63c
Vol: $49,301Ends Nov 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?
OpenYES 24cNO 77c
Vol: $51,644Ends Nov 2
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
ResolvedYES 12cNO 89c
Vol: $1,398,484Ends Nov 3
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
OpenYES 93cNO 7c
Vol: $118,796Ends Nov 3
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
OpenYES 8cNO 93c
Vol: $84,929Ends Nov 3
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
ResolvedYES 6cNO 95c
Vol: $1,370,258Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
OpenYES 37cNO 63c
Vol: $98,622Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
OpenYES 28cNO 72c
Vol: $72,972Ends Nov 4
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
ResolvedYES 91cNO 10c
Vol: $66,461Ends Nov 4
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
OpenYES 69cNO 32c
Vol: $49,230Ends Nov 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
ResolvedYES 21cNO 79c
Vol: $398,946Ends Nov 1
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 72cNO 28c
Vol: $230,785Ends Nov 4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
OpenYES 91cNO 9c
Vol: $163,239Ends Nov 1
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 47cNO 54c
Vol: $133,799Ends Nov 4
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?
ResolvedYES 6cNO 94c
Vol: $111,589Ends Nov 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 26-November 1?
OpenYES 19cNO 81c
Vol: $77,280Ends Nov 2
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
ResolvedYES 23cNO 78c
Vol: $284,931Ends Nov 4
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
OpenYES 19cNO 81c
Vol: $217,040Ends Nov 1
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?
OpenYES 14cNO 87c
Vol: $128,874Ends Nov 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
ResolvedYES 55cNO 45c
Vol: $229,993Ends Nov 1