Markets

Short-horizon Polymarket binary markets — the shared set every forecaster is scored on

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Open
YES 39cNO 62c
Vol: $39,124Ends Nov 3
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?
Open
YES 41cNO 60c
Vol: $37,092Ends Oct 1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Open
YES 7cNO 94c
Vol: $35,466Ends Sep 22
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 23, 2026?
Open
YES 17cNO 83c
Vol: $34,354Ends Sep 23
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open
YES 72cNO 28c
Vol: $34,200Ends Oct 4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?
Open
YES 17cNO 83c
Vol: $33,021Ends Oct 1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Open
YES 20cNO 81c
Vol: $32,179Ends Sep 30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
Open
YES 89cNO 12c
Vol: $184,940Ends Sep 25
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Open
YES 8cNO 93c
Vol: $175,910Ends Nov 3
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Open
YES 94cNO 7c
Vol: $137,647Ends Sep 30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Open
YES 11cNO 89c
Vol: $118,248Ends Oct 1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
Open
YES 13cNO 88c
Vol: $87,806Ends Nov 1
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
Open
YES 81cNO 20c
Vol: $66,440Ends Sep 24
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
Open
YES 8cNO 93c
Vol: $65,537Ends Sep 23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Open
YES 56cNO 45c
Vol: $63,638Ends Oct 28
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open
YES 58cNO 42c
Vol: $59,046Ends Oct 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?
Open
YES 74cNO 27c
Vol: $47,800Ends Oct 1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Open
YES 34cNO 66c
Vol: $46,313Ends Oct 1
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Open
YES 16cNO 85c
Vol: $42,272Ends Nov 1
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30?
Open
YES 25cNO 75c
Vol: $39,710Ends Sep 30
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Open
YES 81cNO 20c
Vol: $1,715,363Ends Sep 30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Open
YES 35cNO 66c
Vol: $71,640Ends Nov 1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open
YES 42cNO 59c
Vol: $61,785Ends Oct 4
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open
YES 11cNO 90c
Vol: $38,912Ends Oct 5
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?
Open
YES 92cNO 8c
Vol: $33,665Ends Sep 23
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?
Open
YES 7cNO 93c
Vol: $33,495Ends Sep 30
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Open
YES 91cNO 10c
Vol: $173,596Ends Nov 3
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Open
YES 76cNO 25c
Vol: $170,322Ends Sep 30
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?
Open
YES 8cNO 92c
Vol: $77,032Ends Oct 1
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?
Open
YES 31cNO 69c
Vol: $52,441Ends Sep 21
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Open
YES 55cNO 46c
Vol: $48,941Ends Nov 3
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
Open
YES 36cNO 65c
Vol: $41,289Ends Oct 1
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Open
YES 61cNO 40c
Vol: $33,182Ends Nov 3
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
Open
YES 24cNO 76c
Vol: $25,532Ends Nov 1
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Open
YES 11cNO 90c
Vol: $25,502Ends Nov 1
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Open
YES 94cNO 6c
Vol: $43,646Ends Nov 3
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20?
Open
YES 6cNO 94c
Vol: $41,434Ends Sep 21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
Open
YES 88cNO 12c
Vol: $41,152Ends Oct 1
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Open
YES 20cNO 81c
Vol: $39,501Ends Nov 3
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Open
YES 50cNO 51c
Vol: $118,935Ends Sep 20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Open
YES 47cNO 53c
Vol: $57,123Ends Oct 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 20?
Open
YES 26cNO 74c
Vol: $30,219Ends Sep 20
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Open
YES 16cNO 84c
Vol: $23,933Ends Sep 20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Open
YES 48cNO 53c
Vol: $455,592Ends Oct 28
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Open
YES 56cNO 44c
Vol: $182,157Ends Sep 20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
Resolved
YES 72cNO 28c
Vol: $80,749Ends Oct 1
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Open
YES 67cNO 34c
Vol: $56,635Ends Sep 20
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Open
YES 61cNO 40c
Vol: $47,750Ends Sep 20
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?
Open
YES 89cNO 11c
Vol: $43,464Ends Oct 1
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Open
YES 41cNO 60c
Vol: $29,340Ends Sep 20
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open
YES 52cNO 48c
Vol: $24,068Ends Oct 4
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?
Open
YES 55cNO 46c
Vol: $23,121Ends Sep 27
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
Open
YES 19cNO 82c
Vol: $22,176Ends Oct 1
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Open
YES 12cNO 88c
Vol: $29,243Ends Oct 1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Open
YES 7cNO 94c
Vol: $27,623Ends Oct 31
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?
Open
YES 50cNO 51c
Vol: $27,559Ends Oct 1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?
Open
YES 83cNO 17c
Vol: $72,761Ends Oct 1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
Open
YES 9cNO 91c
Vol: $63,668Ends Sep 30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
Open
YES 25cNO 75c
Vol: $42,018Ends Oct 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?
Open
YES 21cNO 79c
Vol: $26,803Ends Sep 21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Open
YES 92cNO 8c
Vol: $23,733Ends Sep 30
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Open
YES 85cNO 15c
Vol: $17,831Ends Oct 1
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?
Open
YES 62cNO 39c
Vol: $16,595Ends Sep 20
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Open
YES 5cNO 95c
Vol: $21,982Ends Sep 20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
Open
YES 47cNO 54c
Vol: $19,945Ends Sep 18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Open
YES 9cNO 91c
Vol: $65,945Ends Sep 18
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
Open
YES 8cNO 93c
Vol: $60,665Ends Oct 1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Open
YES 41cNO 60c
Vol: $27,937Ends Sep 18
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 14-20?
Open
YES 20cNO 81c
Vol: $27,828Ends Sep 21
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
Open
YES 6cNO 95c
Vol: $24,439Ends Oct 1
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
Open
YES 85cNO 15c
Vol: $17,634Ends Sep 20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Open
YES 5cNO 95c
Vol: $68,816Ends Oct 1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
Open
YES 8cNO 92c
Vol: $114,397Ends Oct 1
Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?
Open
YES 16cNO 84c
Vol: $51,418Ends Oct 1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open
YES 22cNO 78c
Vol: $28,441Ends Oct 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Open
YES 24cNO 77c
Vol: $22,639Ends Sep 18
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Resolved
YES 41cNO 59c
Vol: $118,503Ends Oct 1
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?
Open
YES 79cNO 21c
Vol: $49,295Ends Sep 19
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?
Open
YES 22cNO 79c
Vol: $43,122Ends Oct 1
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Open
YES 28cNO 73c
Vol: $29,666Ends Sep 20
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 14-20?
Open
YES 8cNO 93c
Vol: $28,154Ends Sep 21
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?
Open
YES 94cNO 6c
Vol: $27,860Ends Sep 30
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?
Open
YES 17cNO 84c
Vol: $24,486Ends Sep 21
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
Open
YES 16cNO 84c
Vol: $35,406Ends Sep 30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Resolved
YES 13cNO 88c
Vol: $5,175,201Ends Sep 16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Resolved
YES 72cNO 28c
Vol: $128,502Ends Oct 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Open
YES 11cNO 89c
Vol: $22,012Ends Sep 18
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
Open
YES 95cNO 6c
Vol: $18,784Ends Sep 18
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Open
YES 14cNO 86c
Vol: $14,486Ends Sep 20
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in September?
Resolved
YES 77cNO 24c
Vol: $135,829Ends Oct 1
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Open
YES 6cNO 94c
Vol: $56,835Ends Sep 15
Will Ukraine target Moscow by September 15, 2026?
Open
YES 55cNO 46c
Vol: $27,309Ends Sep 15
Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Open
YES 95cNO 5c
Vol: $25,784Ends Sep 15
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in September?
Open
YES 6cNO 95c
Vol: $15,345Ends Oct 1
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
Open
YES 5cNO 95c
Vol: $14,620Ends Oct 1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?
Open
YES 94cNO 6c
Vol: $13,878Ends Sep 30
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
Open
YES 6cNO 95c
Vol: $12,983Ends Oct 1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Open
YES 29cNO 71c
Vol: $27,801Ends Sep 15
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Open
YES 7cNO 94c
Vol: $16,669Ends Sep 18
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?
Open
YES 16cNO 85c
Vol: $22,131Ends Sep 14