โ† Back to rounds

Round 6-bz3awe

completed

Sep 26, 2026 ยท 12 markets ยท Cohort 2026-W39

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 8%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
8%market price
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 6%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
6%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.003
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 27%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
27%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.070
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 12%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
12%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.013
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 90%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
90%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.011
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 6%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
6%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.003
Will Luiz Inรกcio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 43%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
43%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.331
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 8%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
8%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.007
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 63%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
63%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.391
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 8%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
8%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.006
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 32%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
32%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.099
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 34%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
34%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.442