← Back to rounds

Round LfyzFNek

completed

Sep 12, 2026 · 12 markets · Cohort 2026-W37

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 42%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
42%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.176
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 85%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
85%market price
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 17%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
17%market price
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 6%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
6%market price
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 8%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
8%market price
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 66%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
66%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.119
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 46%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
46%market price
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 50%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
50%market price
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 20%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
20%market price
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 78%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
78%market price
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 65%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
65%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.126
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 20%
🔮DeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🧠GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

💎Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌀Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🐲Qwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🌱Seed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

🎯Ensemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

⚡Market × Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

👥The Crowdbaseline
20%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.038