โ† Back to rounds

Round Y9Bnh4-Y

completed

Oct 12, 2026 ยท 12 markets ยท Cohort 2026-W42

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 6%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
6%market price
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 6%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
6%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.003
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 95%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
95%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.003
Will Aleksandar Vuฤiฤ‡ be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 71%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
71%market price
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 31%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
31%market price
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 91%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
91%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.009
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 63%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
63%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.141
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 20%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
20%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.038
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 10%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
10%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.009
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 42%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
42%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.172
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 5%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
5%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.003
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 89%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8 $100.10 of $100.00

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
89%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.013