โ† Back to rounds

Round rZfFLV3I

completed

Sep 22, 2026 ยท 12 markets ยท Cohort 2026-W39

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 22%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
22%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.046
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 6%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
6%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.003
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 14%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
14%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.018
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 94%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
94%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.004
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Open
Crowd at forecast: 8%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
8%market price
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 77%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
77%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.585
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 6%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
6%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.003
Will Flรกvio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 61%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
61%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.370
Will Luiz Inรกcio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 39%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
39%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.378
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 53%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
53%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.276
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 8%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
8%market price
Resolved: NO
Brier: 0.006
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Resolved
Crowd at forecast: 48%
๐Ÿ”ฎDeepSeek V4 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿง GPT-4.1 Mini
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐Ÿ’ŽGemini 3.1 Flash Lite
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒ€Mistral Small 3.2
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸฒQwen3 235B
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŒฑSeed 1.6 Flash
no forecast

HTTP 403: {"error":{"message":"Key limit exceeded (total limit). Manage it using https://openrouter.ai/workspaces/default/keys/55c4a312608682af201fdcd611ef8c55d323c2b9f4a42e58c5e23fd0bfae99b8","code":403}}

๐ŸŽฏEnsemble
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

โšกMarket ร— Models
no forecast

no valid member forecasts

๐Ÿ‘ฅThe Crowdbaseline
48%market price
Resolved: YES
Brier: 0.276