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GPT-4.1 Mini
OpenAISkill vs Crowd
-0.202
Brier
0.384
Log Loss
1.042
ECE
0.403
Resolution
0.021
Forecasts
536 (230)
Reliability
100.0%
Calibration
Brier: 0.3843Reliability
0.1909
Resolution
0.0213
Uncertainty
0.2100
Forecast history
| Date | Market | P(YES) | Crowd | Outcome | Brier | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 10% | 7% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | 2% | 6% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 3% | 5% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 11% | 10% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 2% | 6% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 80% | 75% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 23% | 7% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 52% | 28% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 12% | 6% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 91% | 90% | YES | 0.008 | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 16% | 54% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 11% | 10% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 2% | 6% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 3% | 5% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 11% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 52% | 27% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 65% | 40% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 75% | 88% | YES | 0.063 | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 91% | 90% | YES | 0.008 | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 10% | 90% | YES | 0.810 | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 6% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 6% | 54% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 11% | 10% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 4% | 5% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 52% | 27% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 19% | 11% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 62% | 48% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 75% | 88% | YES | 0.063 | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 85% | 91% | YES | 0.023 | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 8% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 10% | 90% | YES | 0.810 | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 20% | 54% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 52% | 25% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1% | 6% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 11% | 10% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 65% | 45% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 5% | 5% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 19% | 11% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 75% | 88% | YES | 0.063 | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 20% | 88% | YES | 0.640 | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 7% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 20% | 54% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 90% | YES | 0.449 | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 11% | 10% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 5% | 5% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 20% | 11% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 52% | 27% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | 32% | 14% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 27% | 56% | YES | 0.533 | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 71% | 49% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 75% | 88% | YES | 0.063 | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 10% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 20% | 54% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 10% | 90% | YES | 0.810 | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | 32% | 14% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 10% | 12% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 18% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | 33% | 7% | YES | 0.449 | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 38% | 26% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 70% | 88% | YES | 0.090 | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 32% | 69% | YES | 0.462 | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 62% | 45% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 9% | 10% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 6% | 54% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 10% | 90% | YES | 0.810 | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 52% | 28% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 9% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 27% | 33% | YES | 0.533 | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 13% | 18% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 65% | 47% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 75% | 88% | YES | 0.063 | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | 5% | 17% | YES | 0.902 | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 85% | 72% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 12% | 9% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 10% | 90% | YES | 0.810 | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 60% | 54% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 50% | 33% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | 75% | 65% | YES | 0.063 | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 9% | 18% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 11% | 10% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 3% | 7% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 75% | 88% | YES | 0.063 | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 10% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 90% | 75% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 15% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 30% | 67% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 90% | YES | 0.449 | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | 75% | 89% | YES | 0.063 | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 14% | 7% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 12% | 18% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 90% | 81% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 8% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 65% | 88% | YES | 0.122 | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 30% | 60% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 90% | YES | 0.449 | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 18% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 6% | 7% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | 85% | 82% | NO | 0.722 | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 9% | 18% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 90% | 81% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 10% | 90% | YES | 0.810 | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 70% | 62% | YES | 0.090 | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 9% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 22% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 20% | 42% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | 6% | 19% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 25% | 70% | YES | 0.563 | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 50% | 39% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 6% | 7% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 16% | 15% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 17% | 18% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 19% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 25% | 48% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 13% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 50% | 37% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 25% | 70% | YES | 0.563 | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | 6% | 14% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 17% | 25% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 6% | 7% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 18% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 29% | 38% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 15% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 18% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 6% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 24% | 25% | NO | 0.058 | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 13% | 25% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 10% | YES | 0.449 | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 50% | 39% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 55% | 61% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 3% | 7% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 23% | 38% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 17% | 15% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 18% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 10% | YES | 0.449 | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | 15% | 5% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 7% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 12% | 22% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 65% | 41% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 25% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 3% | 7% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 20% | 36% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 10% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 20% | 22% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 4% | 19% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 30% | 25% | NO | 0.090 | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | 75% | 23% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 10% | YES | 0.449 | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 19% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 65% | 48% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 30% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 20% | 41% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 17% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | 75% | 8% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 28% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 20% | 44% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 83% | YES | 0.063 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 39% | 27% | NO | 0.152 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 25% | 74% | YES | 0.563 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 60% | 80% | YES | 0.160 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 34% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 20% | 27% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | 75% | 6% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 38% | 28% | NO | 0.144 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 83% | YES | 0.063 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 28% | 15% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 23% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 30% | 74% | YES | 0.490 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 64% | 64% | YES | 0.130 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | 35% | 8% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 16% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 30% | 79% | YES | 0.490 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 30% | 79% | YES | 0.490 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 65% | 63% | YES | 0.122 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 5% | 7% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 24% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 27% | YES | 0.740 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 35% | 92% | YES | 0.422 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 75% | YES | 0.063 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 30% | 26% | NO | 0.090 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 30% | 63% | YES | 0.490 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 35% | 7% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 28% | 15% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 35% | 48% | YES | 0.422 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 15% | 92% | YES | 0.722 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 4% | 12% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 60% | 17% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 16% | YES | 0.722 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 14% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 35% | 25% | NO | 0.122 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 69% | YES | 0.023 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 5% | 7% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 30% | 62% | YES | 0.490 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 48% | 42% | YES | 0.270 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 85% | 92% | YES | 0.023 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 10% | 10% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 18% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 16% | YES | 0.722 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 35% | 20% | NO | 0.122 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 16% | 6% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 30% | 64% | YES | 0.490 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 79% | YES | 0.023 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 35% | 92% | YES | 0.422 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 32% | 47% | YES | 0.462 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 3% | 7% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 12% | 14% | YES | 0.774 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 22% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 8% | 33% | NO | 0.006 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 35% | 55% | YES | 0.422 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 16% | 6% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 15% | 7% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 3% | 5% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 75% | 7% | NO | 0.563 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 40% | YES | 0.563 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 90% | 92% | YES | 0.010 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 68% | YES | 0.063 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 10% | YES | 0.740 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 18% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 8% | 33% | NO | 0.006 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 20% | 19% | YES | 0.640 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 65% | 7% | NO | 0.422 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 60% | 8% | — | — | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 6% | YES | 0.740 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 15% | 92% | YES | 0.722 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 16% | 6% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 18% | YES | 0.449 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 20% | 16% | YES | 0.640 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 65% | 31% | YES | 0.122 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 3% | 5% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 30% | 17% | NO | 0.090 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 8% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 5% | 7% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 15% | 92% | YES | 0.722 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 6% | YES | 0.722 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 16% | 6% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 32% | 10% | YES | 0.462 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 18% | YES | 0.449 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 15% | 11% | NO | 0.022 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 7% | 20% | YES | 0.865 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 44% | YES | 0.063 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 3% | 5% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 19% | 33% | NO | 0.036 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 20% | 9% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 6% | YES | 0.722 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 18% | YES | 0.449 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 15% | 11% | NO | 0.022 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 44% | YES | 0.063 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 3% | 5% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 1% | 7% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 21% | 19% | YES | 0.624 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 7% | 6% | YES | 0.865 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 16% | 10% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | 11% | 11% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 44% | YES | 0.063 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | 75% | 6% | NO | 0.563 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 20% | 20% | YES | 0.640 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 6% | 6% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 18% | YES | 0.449 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 1% | 7% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 15% | 10% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 5% | 6% | YES | 0.902 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | 75% | 27% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 44% | YES | 0.063 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | 85% | 6% | NO | 0.722 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 30% | 18% | YES | 0.490 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 2% | 6% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 20% | 19% | YES | 0.640 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 1% | 7% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 16% | 10% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 28% | 33% | NO | 0.078 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 6% | YES | 0.748 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | 75% | 6% | NO | 0.563 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | 22% | 36% | YES | 0.608 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 18% | YES | 0.722 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 5% | 6% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 32% | 18% | YES | 0.462 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 1% | 7% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 35% | 33% | NO | 0.122 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 16% | 10% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 7% | YES | 0.740 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 85% | 6% | NO | 0.722 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | 25% | 87% | YES | 0.563 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 6% | 6% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 30% | 24% | YES | 0.490 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 60% | 18% | YES | 0.160 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 12% | 7% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 7% | YES | 0.740 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 12% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 47% | 33% | NO | 0.221 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 6% | 6% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 38% | 32% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 7% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 85% | 6% | NO | 0.722 | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | 25% | 87% | YES | 0.563 | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 12% | 14% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 26% | 18% | YES | 0.548 | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 16% | 6% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 10% | 7% | YES | 0.810 | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 12% | 7% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 85% | 6% | NO | 0.722 | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 7% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 6% | 6% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 38% | 42% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 25% | 10% | YES | 0.563 | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 25% | 19% | YES | 0.563 | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 16% | 6% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 35% | 14% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 7% | 7% | YES | 0.865 | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 12% | 7% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 6% | 6% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 85% | 6% | NO | 0.722 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 34% | 27% | YES | 0.436 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 35% | 11% | YES | 0.422 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 16% | 6% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 53% | 13% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 40% | 16% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 10% | 7% | YES | 0.810 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 12% | 7% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 26% | 20% | YES | 0.548 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 16% | 6% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 34% | 30% | YES | 0.436 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 63% | YES | 0.063 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 53% | 13% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 35% | 55% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 25% | 23% | YES | 0.563 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 18% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 10% | 7% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 35% | 39% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 11% | 11% | YES | 0.792 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? | 15% | 27% | YES | 0.722 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 75% | 6% | NO | 0.563 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 65% | 70% | YES | 0.122 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 63% | YES | 0.063 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 53% | 13% | — | — | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 34% | 28% | YES | 0.436 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 25% | 19% | YES | 0.563 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 18% | — | — | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 10% | 7% | — | — | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 22% | 6% | NO | 0.048 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 12% | YES | 0.722 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 26% | 19% | YES | 0.548 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 33% | 30% | YES | 0.449 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 5% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 53% | 13% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 75% | 7% | NO | 0.563 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 63% | YES | 0.063 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 75% | 66% | YES | 0.063 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 10% | 7% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 30% | 16% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 94% | 93% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 14% | YES | 0.722 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 4% | 6% | NO | 0.002 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 15% | 72% | YES | 0.722 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 19% | YES | 0.722 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 35% | 13% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 31% | YES | 0.563 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 25% | 63% | YES | 0.563 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 25% | 7% | NO | 0.063 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 16% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 6% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 7% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 5% | 93% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 14% | YES | 0.722 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 25% | 63% | YES | 0.563 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 22% | YES | 0.722 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 35% | 13% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 30% | 12% | NO | 0.090 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 18% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 6% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 5% | 94% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 30% | YES | 0.563 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 7% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 35% | 14% | NO | 0.122 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 14% | YES | 0.722 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 35% | 27% | YES | 0.422 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 6% | — | — | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 15% | 9% | NO | 0.022 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 33% | YES | 0.563 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 25% | 63% | YES | 0.563 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 35% | 13% | — | — | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 23% | YES | 0.722 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 20% | — | — | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 7% | — | — | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 14% | YES | 0.722 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 35% | 14% | NO | 0.122 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 33% | YES | 0.563 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | 15% | 14% | — | — | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 7% | — | — | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 19% | YES | 0.722 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 35% | 27% | YES | 0.422 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 15% | 12% | NO | 0.022 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 25% | 63% | YES | 0.563 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 22% | — | — | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 7% | — | — | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 35% | 14% | NO | 0.122 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 5% | 7% | NO | 0.003 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | 75% | 24% | YES | 0.063 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 5% | 8% | NO | 0.003 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 25% | 63% | YES | 0.563 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 81% | — | — | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 19% | YES | 0.722 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 8% | — | — | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 7% | — | — | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 34% | YES | 0.563 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 22% | — | — | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 35% | 14% | NO | 0.122 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 9% | — | — | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 5% | 11% | NO | 0.003 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 5% | 10% | NO | 0.003 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 33% | YES | 0.563 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 21% | YES | 0.722 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | 25% | 5% | NO | 0.063 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 81% | — | — | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | 25% | 94% | YES | 0.563 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 7% | — | — | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 35% | 14% | NO | 0.122 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 19% | — | — | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | o8pBdIS7 |
| May 31, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 35% | 66% | YES | 0.422 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 16% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 27% | YES | 0.722 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 30% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 1% | 23% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 36% | YES | 0.563 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 7% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 85% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | 25% | 94% | YES | 0.563 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 35% | 71% | YES | 0.422 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 35% | 14% | NO | 0.122 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 10% | NO | 0.022 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 25% | 65% | YES | 0.563 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 44% | YES | 0.722 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30? | 5% | 9% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 65% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 37% | YES | 0.563 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 25% | YES | 0.722 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 28% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 1% | 24% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 7% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 35% | 14% | NO | 0.122 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 12% | NO | 0.022 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | 25% | 94% | YES | 0.563 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 5% | 90% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 44% | YES | 0.722 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 27% | NO | 0.022 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | 15% | 19% | NO | 0.022 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 65% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 21% | YES | 0.722 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 37% | YES | 0.563 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 75% | 28% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 1% | 24% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 75% | 8% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 35% | 13% | NO | 0.122 | sgOhNTHs |