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Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
GoogleSkill vs Crowd
-0.182
Brier
0.364
Log Loss
1.057
ECE
0.405
Resolution
0.033
Forecasts
537 (230)
Reliability
99.6%
Calibration
Brier: 0.3641Reliability
0.1862
Resolution
0.0326
Uncertainty
0.2100
Forecast history
| Date | Market | P(YES) | Crowd | Outcome | Brier | Round |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 7% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | 95% | 6% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1% | 6% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 4% | 10% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 3% | 5% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 82% | 75% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 45% | 28% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 5% | 54% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 100% | 90% | YES | 0.000 | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 12% | 6% | — | — | P2yZarkJ |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 5% | 10% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 3% | 5% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1% | 6% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 11% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 75% | 40% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 38% | 27% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 95% | 88% | YES | 0.003 | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 91% | 90% | YES | 0.008 | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 6% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 5% | 90% | YES | 0.902 | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 25% | 54% | — | — | w59NeSou |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 5% | 10% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 4% | 5% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1% | 6% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 11% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 35% | 27% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 91% | 91% | YES | 0.008 | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 95% | 88% | YES | 0.003 | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 65% | 48% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 20% | 8% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 54% | — | — | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 90% | YES | 0.722 | MaHLbK_Y |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 38% | 25% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1% | 6% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 8% | 10% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 3% | 5% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 62% | 45% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 11% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 32% | 88% | YES | 0.462 | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 100% | 88% | YES | 0.000 | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 5% | 54% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 90% | YES | 0.722 | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 7% | — | — | piY0zZRp |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 11% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | 3% | 5% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 15% | 10% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 38% | 27% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | 30% | 14% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 28% | 56% | YES | 0.518 | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 62% | 49% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 95% | 88% | YES | 0.003 | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 54% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 10% | — | — | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 90% | YES | 0.722 | eLAY9ugo |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | 25% | 14% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 10% | 12% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 14% | 18% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | 15% | 7% | YES | 0.722 | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 38% | 26% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 95% | 88% | YES | 0.003 | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 62% | 45% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 32% | 69% | YES | 0.462 | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 9% | 10% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 10% | 90% | YES | 0.810 | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 5% | 54% | — | — | 5s3mQumR |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 2% | 9% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 35% | 28% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | 20% | 33% | YES | 0.640 | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 65% | 47% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 18% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | 5% | 17% | YES | 0.902 | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 85% | 72% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 95% | 88% | YES | 0.003 | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 95% | 90% | YES | 0.003 | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 25% | 54% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 12% | 9% | — | — | _-TYfJ2E |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 2% | 6% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 45% | 33% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | 100% | 65% | YES | 0.000 | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | 15% | 10% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 12% | 18% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 85% | 75% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 15% | 88% | YES | 0.722 | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 10% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 65% | 67% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 90% | YES | 0.449 | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 15% | — | — | zTexbb0r |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?failed | — | 6% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | 95% | 89% | YES | 0.003 | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 6% | 7% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 12% | 18% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 2% | 6% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 8% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 85% | 81% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 95% | 88% | YES | 0.003 | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 60% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 90% | YES | 0.449 | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 18% | — | — | Izz6a1ae |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 7% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 2% | 6% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | 5% | 82% | NO | 0.003 | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 18% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 90% | YES | 0.722 | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 95% | 62% | YES | 0.003 | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | 85% | 81% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 25% | 42% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 9% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 22% | — | — | k8pb-xAs |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | 6% | 19% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 15% | 70% | YES | 0.722 | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 6% | 7% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 38% | 39% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?failed | — | 15% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 18% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 2% | 13% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 25% | 48% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 25% | 19% | — | — | Y4V7QN_G |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 45% | 37% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | 25% | 70% | YES | 0.563 | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June? | 6% | 14% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 25% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 7% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 2% | 6% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 18% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 15% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 5% | 38% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 18% | — | — | VV6yx_VG |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 22% | 25% | NO | 0.048 | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | 10% | 6% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 1% | 6% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 25% | 10% | YES | 0.563 | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 25% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 42% | 61% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 45% | 39% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 3% | 7% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 28% | 38% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 18% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 15% | — | — | C7kFI0CD |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | 5% | 5% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 10% | YES | 0.449 | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 7% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 85% | 22% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 25% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 75% | 41% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 4% | 10% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 18% | 22% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 5% | 36% | — | — | SlKoFx2a |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 4% | 19% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 25% | 25% | NO | 0.063 | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | 35% | 10% | YES | 0.422 | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | 25% | 23% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 23% | 7% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 19% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | 75% | 48% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 5% | 41% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 16% | 30% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 2% | 17% | — | — | YKQShmXH |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 5% | 6% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | 5% | 6% | NO | 0.003 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 28% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 5% | 44% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | 25% | 8% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 83% | YES | 0.023 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 42% | 27% | NO | 0.176 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 80% | YES | 0.563 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 85% | 74% | YES | 0.023 | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 16% | 34% | — | — | Ue3t-6U9 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | 15% | 27% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | 25% | 6% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 42% | 28% | NO | 0.176 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 15% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 83% | YES | 0.023 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 85% | 74% | YES | 0.023 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 35% | 64% | YES | 0.422 | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 16% | 23% | — | — | M1goKJ6H |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026? | 25% | 8% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 16% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 79% | YES | 0.063 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 85% | 79% | YES | 0.023 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 32% | 63% | YES | 0.462 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 16% | 24% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 15% | 92% | YES | 0.722 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 27% | YES | 0.748 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | zW5sEDB9 |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 35% | 26% | NO | 0.122 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 75% | YES | 0.063 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 85% | 63% | YES | 0.023 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 15% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 15% | 92% | YES | 0.722 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 48% | YES | 0.563 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 4% | 12% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 5% | 16% | YES | 0.902 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 16% | 17% | — | — | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 5% | 33% | NO | 0.003 | Ero0lk-N |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 14% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 5% | 7% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 38% | 25% | NO | 0.144 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 65% | 62% | YES | 0.122 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 69% | YES | 0.023 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 25% | 92% | YES | 0.563 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 10% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 42% | YES | 0.722 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 45% | 16% | YES | 0.303 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 18% | 18% | — | — | NjhPrWcN |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | 38% | 20% | NO | 0.144 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 65% | 79% | YES | 0.122 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 30% | 64% | YES | 0.490 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 7% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 47% | YES | 0.722 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 85% | 92% | YES | 0.023 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 5% | 33% | NO | 0.003 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 11% | 14% | YES | 0.792 | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 18% | 22% | — | — | 8fHZQQnE |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? | 65% | 55% | YES | 0.122 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 65% | 7% | NO | 0.422 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 5% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 40% | YES | 0.563 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 68% | YES | 0.023 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 85% | 92% | YES | 0.023 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 11% | 10% | YES | 0.792 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 18% | — | — | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | m1kdIUax |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 5% | — | — | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 5% | 19% | YES | 0.902 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 25% | 7% | NO | 0.063 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 8% | — | — | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 15% | 92% | YES | 0.722 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 13% | 6% | YES | 0.757 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | qhPilMTR |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 18% | YES | 0.449 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 20% | 16% | YES | 0.640 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 45% | 31% | YES | 0.303 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 5% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 15% | 17% | NO | 0.022 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 17% | 8% | — | — | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 15% | 33% | NO | 0.022 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? | 15% | 92% | YES | 0.722 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 1% | 6% | YES | 0.980 | QV7goVja |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 33% | 18% | YES | 0.449 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 25% | 10% | YES | 0.563 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 7% | 20% | YES | 0.865 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 15% | 11% | NO | 0.022 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 75% | 44% | YES | 0.063 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 3% | 7% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 5% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 2% | 6% | YES | 0.960 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 18% | 33% | NO | 0.032 | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 18% | 9% | — | — | RUqWYaT2 |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 5% | 6% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | 15% | 11% | NO | 0.022 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 18% | YES | 0.722 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 44% | YES | 0.023 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 45% | 62% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 19% | YES | 0.563 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 1% | 7% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 2% | 5% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 12% | 6% | YES | 0.783 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 18% | 10% | — | — | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 11% | 33% | NO | 0.012 | EEojE-Fi |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 44% | YES | 0.023 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | 12% | 11% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | 0% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 5% | 6% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 95% | 18% | YES | 0.003 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 20% | YES | 0.722 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 1% | 7% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 45% | 62% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 15% | 10% | — | — | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 5% | 6% | YES | 0.902 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 16% | 33% | NO | 0.026 | QeV1auUH |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 35% | 44% | YES | 0.422 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? | 85% | 27% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 5% | 6% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 55% | 62% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 85% | 18% | YES | 0.023 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 19% | YES | 0.722 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 1% | 7% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 7% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 12% | 6% | YES | 0.774 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 18% | 10% | — | — | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 16% | 33% | NO | 0.026 | YCRMqtsV |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? | 25% | 6% | NO | 0.063 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | 22% | 36% | YES | 0.608 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 3% | 6% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 60% | 62% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 85% | 18% | YES | 0.023 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 65% | 18% | YES | 0.122 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 6% | 7% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 1% | 7% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 15% | 10% | — | — | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 7% | YES | 0.740 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 95% | 33% | NO | 0.902 | 7ql-zJXe |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | 25% | 87% | YES | 0.563 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 6% | 6% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 24% | YES | 0.563 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 55% | 18% | YES | 0.202 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 5% | 7% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 60% | 62% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 5% | 6% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 22% | 12% | — | — | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 11% | 33% | NO | 0.012 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 7% | YES | 0.731 | uMaZKWNh |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 35% | 32% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 7% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | 45% | 87% | YES | 0.303 | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 25% | 14% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 28% | 18% | YES | 0.518 | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 5% | 6% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 60% | 62% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 12% | 7% | YES | 0.783 | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 5% | 7% | — | — | rFwUKA-H |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 6% | 6% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | 12% | 7% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 45% | 10% | YES | 0.303 | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 12% | 10% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 42% | 42% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 35% | 14% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 35% | 19% | YES | 0.422 | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 7% | 7% | YES | 0.865 | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 2% | 7% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | LgmyOMOv |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 27% | YES | 0.563 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 25% | 6% | NO | 0.063 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | 7% | 6% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 12% | 10% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 65% | 11% | YES | 0.122 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 48% | 13% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 58% | 62% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 25% | 16% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 2% | 7% | — | — | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 28% | 20% | YES | 0.518 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 6, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 10% | 7% | YES | 0.810 | uL_Edd7F |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | 15% | 6% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 35% | 30% | YES | 0.422 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 12% | 10% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | 12% | 55% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 45% | 63% | YES | 0.303 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 52% | 13% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 5% | 7% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 35% | 23% | YES | 0.422 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 35% | 18% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 29% | 39% | — | — | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 11% | YES | 0.731 | ldEsOT9t |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 15% | 6% | NO | 0.022 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? | 45% | 27% | YES | 0.303 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? | 8% | 10% | — | — | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 85% | 63% | YES | 0.023 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 45% | 70% | YES | 0.303 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 52% | 13% | — | — | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 20% | 18% | — | — | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 35% | 28% | YES | 0.422 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 35% | 19% | YES | 0.422 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 5% | 6% | NO | 0.003 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 5% | 7% | — | — | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 5, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 12% | YES | 0.722 | SzI9zStY |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 25% | 19% | YES | 0.563 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 25% | 30% | YES | 0.563 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 5% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 52% | 13% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 65% | 63% | YES | 0.122 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 15% | 7% | NO | 0.022 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 65% | 66% | YES | 0.122 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 25% | 16% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 5% | 7% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 92% | 93% | — | — | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 14% | 14% | YES | 0.740 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 4% | 6% | NO | 0.002 | 7wc6BD5m |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 45% | 72% | YES | 0.303 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 35% | 13% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 19% | YES | 0.722 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 31% | YES | 0.722 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 5% | 7% | NO | 0.003 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 5% | 63% | YES | 0.902 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 6% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 16% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 7% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 35% | 93% | — | — | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 4, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 2% | 14% | YES | 0.960 | VLuxccEU |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 5% | 63% | YES | 0.902 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 22% | YES | 0.722 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 35% | 13% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 18% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 5% | 12% | NO | 0.003 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 6% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 30% | YES | 0.722 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 35% | 94% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 7% | — | — | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 2% | 14% | YES | 0.960 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | cJrdl5E4 |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 45% | 27% | YES | 0.303 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 5% | 9% | NO | 0.003 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 6% | — | — | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 33% | YES | 0.722 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | 35% | 13% | — | — | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 5% | 63% | YES | 0.902 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 20% | — | — | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 7% | — | — | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 23% | YES | 0.722 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 2% | 14% | YES | 0.960 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 3, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | GKyJ82sZ |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | 15% | 14% | — | — | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 33% | YES | 0.722 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 19% | YES | 0.722 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | 45% | 27% | YES | 0.303 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 7% | — | — | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | 5% | 12% | NO | 0.003 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 5% | 63% | YES | 0.902 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 22% | — | — | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 7% | — | — | TJDrNLIs |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | 15% | 24% | YES | 0.722 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 5% | 7% | NO | 0.003 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 8% | NO | 0.022 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 81% | — | — | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 19% | YES | 0.722 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 5% | 63% | YES | 0.902 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 34% | YES | 0.722 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 7% | — | — | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 8% | — | — | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 22% | — | — | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 2, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | YQJVQ0Us |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | 5% | 10% | NO | 0.003 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | 5% | 11% | NO | 0.003 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 1% | 9% | — | — | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 33% | YES | 0.722 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 21% | YES | 0.722 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | 5% | 5% | NO | 0.003 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 81% | — | — | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | 15% | 94% | YES | 0.722 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 7% | — | — | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 6% | NO | 0.000 | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 19% | — | — | o8pBdIS7 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | o8pBdIS7 |
| May 31, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 5% | 66% | YES | 0.902 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 27% | YES | 0.722 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | 5% | 16% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 36% | YES | 0.722 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0% | 23% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 30% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | 15% | 94% | YES | 0.722 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 7% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 85% | — | — | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 15% | 71% | YES | 0.722 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 10% | NO | 0.000 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | HdFT3g69 |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 44% | YES | 0.722 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | 5% | 65% | YES | 0.902 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30? | 5% | 9% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 37% | YES | 0.722 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 25% | YES | 0.722 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 65% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 7% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0% | 24% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 28% | — | — | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 15% | 14% | NO | 0.022 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 12% | NO | 0.000 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? | 15% | 94% | YES | 0.722 | DJSx79NH |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026? | 15% | 27% | NO | 0.022 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? | 15% | 44% | YES | 0.722 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | 35% | 90% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | 15% | 21% | YES | 0.722 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | 5% | 19% | NO | 0.003 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | 2% | 65% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | 85% | 28% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 0% | 24% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 15% | 37% | YES | 0.722 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | 2% | 14% | NO | 0.000 | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | 85% | 8% | — | — | sgOhNTHs |
| May 31, 2026 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 15% | 13% | NO | 0.022 | sgOhNTHs |